於世为,刘杰(学),胡星(学),田鹏 Does development of renewable energy reduce energy intensity? Evidence from 82 countries

我校金沙8888js官方於世为老师在T1级别期刊——《Technological Forecasting & Social Change》上发表题为“Does development of renewable energy reduce energy intensity? Evidence from 82 countries ”。论文第一作者於世为为金沙8888js官方教授，博士生导师

Abstract / 摘要：

MT 近年来,可再生能源( RE )在全球范围内迅速发展。不过,能源强度并未以同样的速度下降。本研究应用动态面板门限回归模型,探讨了82个主要国家RE发展对能源强度的影响。结果表明,RE发展对能源强度有显著的负面影响。具体而言,RE发展每增加10.0 %,能量强度降低0.3 %。在RE的低发育阶段和高发育阶段之间,确定并估计效应的阈值点为2.3588 (等效RE消耗为10.58亿MJ )。RE的发展每增加10.0 %,高发展阶段的能量强度下降2.2 %,而低发展阶段仅下降0.2 %。经济发展对能源强度具有显著的负向影响,而基于不可再生能源创造的能源消费结构则具有显著的正向影响。各国应将可再生能源消费量提高到10.58亿MJ以上,以降低能源强度,提高国际贸易产品的技术含量,特别是在低可再生能源发展水平的体制下。

原文 In recent years, renewable energy (RE) has seen rapid development worldwide. However, energy intensity has not declined at the same rate. This study applies a dynamic panel threshold regression model to explore the effects of RE development on energy intensity in 82 major countries. The results show that RE development has a significantly negative impact on energy intensity. Specifically, for every 10.0% increase in RE development, energy intensity reduces by 0.3%. The threshold point of the effect is determined and estimated at 2.3588 (the equivalent RE consumption is 10.58 billion MJ) between the low and the high development regimes of RE. Every 10.0% increase in the development of RE leads to a 2.2% decrease in energy intensity in the high development regime, but only 0.2% decrease in the low development regime. Economic development has a significantly negative impact on energy intensity, while energy consumption structure based on non-renewable energy creates has a significantly positive impact. All countries should increase the consumption of renewable energy to more than 10.58 billion MJ to cut energy intensity and improve the technical content of international trade products, especially in low renewable energy development level regimes.

论文信息;

Title/题目:

Does development of renewable energy reduce energy intensity? Evidence from 82 countries

Authors/作者:

Yu Shiwei;Liu Jie;Hu Xing;Tian Peng

Key Words / 关键词 ：

Renewable energy;Energy intensity;Renewable energy development regime;Dynamic panel threshold regression model

Indexed by / 核心评价 ：

EI; SSCI; Scopus; WAJCI; INSPEC

Highlights/ 研究要点

• A dynamic panel threshold regression model is proposed.;

• Renewable energy development can reduce energy intensity.;

• Renewable energy development has a threshold effect on energy intensity.;

• Effects are different between the high and the low regimes.

DOI： 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2021.121254 6

全文链接：https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0040162521006880